Strategy Notebook

What are the market problems?

Purpose: we talk about wanting to be a “Market-Maker” and I think this is the right thing for us to aim for. But the market has several problems and we should have a thesis on which are the biggest problem and which we can solve. This may be a key way to prioritize and choose between different strategies. A key question to ask when evaluating a strategy is: which market problem or problems does it attempt to solve?

If we can agree on a short list of the biggest market problems it may help us speak the same language and be clear-eyed as we try to make strategic decisions.

How’s this rough list of owner and contractor side problems? Please edit and revise as needed!

Owner side:

  • Lack of trust in contractors/consultants
  • Fear of making wrong choice
  • Lack of compelling narrative
  • Overly complex process, paperwork, approvals
  • Lack of understanding of options
  • Too many decision-makers
  • Lack of capital
  • Solutions not cost-effective even when capital is available

Contractor side:

  • High cost of acquiring customers
  • Unpredictability of pipeline
  • Expensive to maintain inventory
  • Don’t like/not good at communication and customer service
  • Unpredictable demand/ shifting incentives

For reference, the table below was a longer inventory of market problems created as part of the NYSERDA SAFE report.

Identified Barrier Information / Platform Industry Experience / Capacity Policy Carrots / Sticks Utility Rates / Policy
Owners and Managers
High upfront costs
High electricity rates
Unpredictable demand charges
Electrical upgrade costs
Hidden execution costs
Actual project costs often exceed initial bids
Physical space requirements for heat pumps
Insufficient electrical capacity
Con Edison service upgrade timeline
Maintenance complexity creates operational risk
Lack of in-house staff experience
Cost uncertainty throughout decision process
Lack of visibility into post-installation performance
Difficult to isolate DHW costs from other loads
Navigating multiple incentive programs
Choice overload on products and installations
Local Law 97 compliance requirements unclear
Contractors
Avoiding wasting time on "tire-kickers"
Finding leads relies on personal networks
Difficult to identify realistic candidate buildings
Public procurement opportunities scattered
Proposal creation labor-intensive
Bid comparison not standardized
Highly customized designs
Coordination across trades and utilities
Schedule delays cascade
Managing owner expectations
Rebate process admin burden
Changing program requirements