Strategy Notebook

What are the market problems?

Purpose: we talk about wanting to be a “Market-Maker” and I think this is the right thing for us to aim for. But the market has several problems and we should have a thesis on which are the biggest problem and which we can solve. This may be a key way to prioritize and choose between different strategies. A key question to ask when evaluating a strategy is: which market problem or problems does it attempt to solve?

If we can agree on a short list of the biggest market problems it may help us speak the same language and be clear-eyed as we try to make strategic decisions.

How’s this rough list of owner and contractor side problems? Please edit and revise as needed!

Owner side:

  • Lack of trust in contractors/consultants
  • Fear of making wrong choice
  • Lack of compelling narrative
  • Overly complex process, paperwork, approvals
  • Lack of understanding of options
  • Too many decision-makers
  • Lack of capital
  • Solutions not cost-effective even when capital is available

Contractor side:

  • High cost of acquiring customers
  • Unpredictability of pipeline
  • Expensive to maintain inventory
  • Don’t like/not good at communication and customer service
  • Unpredictable demand/ shifting incentives

For reference, the table below was a longer inventory of market problems created as part of the NYSERDA SAFE report.

Identified Barrier Information / Platform Industry Experience / Capacity Policy Carrots / Sticks Utility Rates / Policy
Owners and Managers
High upfront costs ✓ ✓
High electricity rates ✓
Unpredictable demand charges ✓
Electrical upgrade costs ✓ ✓
Hidden execution costs ✓ ✓
Actual project costs often exceed initial bids ✓ ✓
Physical space requirements for heat pumps ✓
Insufficient electrical capacity ✓ ✓
Con Edison service upgrade timeline ✓
Maintenance complexity creates operational risk ✓ ✓
Lack of in-house staff experience ✓
Cost uncertainty throughout decision process ✓
Lack of visibility into post-installation performance ✓
Difficult to isolate DHW costs from other loads ✓
Navigating multiple incentive programs ✓ ✓ ✓
Choice overload on products and installations ✓ ✓
Local Law 97 compliance requirements unclear ✓ ✓
Contractors
Avoiding wasting time on "tire-kickers" ✓ ✓
Finding leads relies on personal networks ✓ ✓
Difficult to identify realistic candidate buildings ✓ ✓
Public procurement opportunities scattered ✓ ✓ ✓
Proposal creation labor-intensive ✓ ✓
Bid comparison not standardized ✓ ✓
Highly customized designs ✓ ✓
Coordination across trades and utilities ✓ ✓ ✓
Schedule delays cascade ✓ ✓
Managing owner expectations ✓ ✓
Rebate process admin burden ✓ ✓
Changing program requirements ✓